The US midterms happen every 4 years at the midpoint of a president four-year term. This year all 435 members of the House of Representatives and 35 of the senate were up for election. We saw Republicans retain charge of the senate, but the house swung to the democrats, who now have a majority which could lead to Trump having difficulty pushing policy through.
USA Today: Here’s why the midterm elections were both good and bad for Donald Trump’s re-election
Trump’s base remains strong – it looks like the Republicans are standing behind trump and his result in 2016 wasn’t just down to fluke. Many of its donor and volunteer base were ‘read to work on 2020’
Trump lost the House – Lichtman, a political historian, has a model to predict the outcome of a presidential election. There are 13 factors, and one is the incumbent must control more seats in the house after a midterm. This increases the risk of policy being blocked, but also scandal to come out due to the reduced number of his party who can support him in the house and Democrat’s ability to investigate both Donald Trump & his administration and this could lead to voters reconsidering their vote.
Source: Trump 2020: Why the midterms were both good and bad for re-election
The Guardian – Midterm lessons: five key takeaways from the election results
This article resonated heavily with USA Today. They predicted the Democrat’s use on checks and balances which could lead to scandal through investigation and also because they can demand trump’s tax return.
The ‘blue wave’ has been seen in unexpected places such as suburban districts in Oklahoma and South Carolina which are both traditionally republican strongholds.
Source: Midterm lessons: five key takeaways from the election results
NBC News – Youth, Latino mobilisation paid off in the midterms. Now groups gear up for 2020.
Analysis from the /Center for Information and Research on Civil Learning and Engagement/ said young adults voted in higher numbers than any other midterm in the last 25 years. This is estimated as 31% elegible 18 to 29 year olds turned out. (Source)
Multiple groups of latino voters were campaigning for other latinos to go to the polling station – this appears to have worked with NBC’s exit poll saying 1 in 4 latino voters casted a ballot for the first time.
The article also brings attention to the numerous number of young candidates during this midterm.
New York Times – Federal Judge Delays Certification of Georgia Election Results
There have been multiple locations where voter registration systems and handling of ballots have caused issues with the legitimacy of votes. On Monday, a federal judge in Atlanta ordered the delay of the certification of election results. This means the result from their election isn’t finalised until after investigation has been completed.
Georgia’s results were centred around security vulnerabilities on a government computer which was related to the use of provisional ballots.
“Repeated inaccuracies were identified in the voter registration system that caused qualified voters likely to lose their vote or to be channeled at best into the provisional voting process because their registration records did not appear or had been purged from the data system,”Judge Totenberg, an appointee of former President Barack Obama
Source: Federal Judge Delays Certification of Georgia Election Results – The New York Times